Each year, Baseball Prospectus projects player performance* and team wins/loses based on a ridiculously complicated algorithm. Based on analysis of the 2007 results, they were within +/- 5 games for 26 of the teams. They recently released the 2008 PECOTA predictions.

2008 PECOTA PREDICTIONS

AL East New York Yankees 96-66 Boston Red Sox 93-69 Toronto Blue Jays 83-79 Tampa Bay Rays 82-80 Baltimore Orioles 69-93AL Central Cleveland Indians 89-73 Detroit Tigers 89-73 Chicago White Sox 77-85 Minnesota Twins 74-88 Kansas City Royals 71-91AL West Los Angeles Angels 89-73 Oakland Athletics 78-84 Texas Rangers 74-88 Seattle Mariners 73-89

NL East New York Mets 96-66 Atlanta Braves 86-76 Philadelphia Phillies 84-78 Florida Marlins 76-86 Washington Nationals 72-90NL Central Chicago Cubs 89-73 Milwaukee Brewers 87-75 Cincinnati Reds 79-83 Houston Astros 74-88 St. Louis Cardinals 72-90 Pittsburgh Pirates 71-91NL West Arizona Diamondbacks 86-76 Los Angeles Dodgers 86-76 San Diego Padres 83-79 Colorado Rockies 82-80 San Francisco Giants 72-90

* Player projections are based on comparison with thousands of historical player-seasons. It then analyzes similarities with past player-seasons based not only on rate statistics, but also height, weight, age, and many other factors.

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